Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Zaragoza beat Espanyol with a 14.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 6 (before the first match) against those on February 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol | Champions League | 29.8% | 18.2% | −11.6 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 50.9% | 60.9% | +10.0 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 30.7% | 20.8% | −9.9 |
| Granada | Relegation | 29.7% | 39.4% | +9.6 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 81.0% | 89.4% | +8.4 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 16.5% | 24.5% | +8.0 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 89.7% | 81.9% | −7.8 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 18.7% | 11.0% | −7.7 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 15.3% | 8.4% | −6.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 84.7% | 91.6% | +6.9 |
