Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Villarreal beat Sevilla with a 24.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 30 (before the first match) against those on February 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada | Relegation | 40.0% | 29.7% | −10.2 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 28.1% | 18.7% | −9.4 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 22.5% | 30.7% | +8.2 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 81.7% | 89.7% | +8.0 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 23.3% | 16.5% | −6.8 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 45.1% | 50.9% | +5.9 |
| Villarreal | Relegation | 13.6% | 8.2% | −5.3 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 18.1% | 13.3% | −4.8 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 76.9% | 81.0% | +4.1 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 4.2% | 8.3% | +4.0 |
