Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Granada beat Real Betis with a 20.7% chance and Getafe beat Levante with a 20.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 23 (before the first match) against those on January 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada | Relegation | 53.5% | 40.0% | −13.5 |
| Levante | Champions League | 31.5% | 19.9% | −11.6 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 35.2% | 45.1% | +9.9 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 21.2% | 11.8% | −9.4 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 16.4% | 24.9% | +8.5 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 14.1% | 21.2% | +7.0 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 16.0% | 22.5% | +6.5 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 20.2% | 26.0% | +5.8 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 10.3% | 4.8% | −5.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 75.7% | 81.3% | +5.6 |
