Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Betis beat Sevilla with a 16.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 29 (before the first match) against those on May 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 82.3% | 99.0% | +16.7 |
| Mallorca | Europa League | 3.9% | 18.2% | +14.3 |
| Villarreal | Relegation | 18.0% | 4.5% | −13.5 |
| Levante | Champions League | 25.9% | 15.5% | −10.4 |
| Levante | Europa League | 56.9% | 66.5% | +9.6 |
| Granada | Relegation | 13.7% | 4.1% | −9.6 |
| Málaga | Champions League | 70.1% | 79.5% | +9.4 |
| Málaga | Europa League | 28.9% | 20.5% | −8.4 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 9.5% | 2.3% | −7.2 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 92.9% | >99.9% | +7.1 |
