Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Sociedad beat Valencia with a 11.7% chance and Racing Santander beat Osasuna with a 18.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 8 (before the first match) against those on January 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada | Relegation | 34.3% | 45.9% | +11.6 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 26.2% | 16.0% | −10.2 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 12.3% | 22.0% | +9.7 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 35.9% | 27.5% | −8.4 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 22.9% | 14.7% | −8.2 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 23.9% | 16.1% | −7.9 |
| Villarreal | Relegation | 14.8% | 22.5% | +7.7 |
| Osasuna | Europa League | 26.7% | 19.9% | −6.7 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 24.3% | 31.0% | +6.6 |
| Osasuna | Champions League | 20.2% | 13.5% | −6.6 |
