Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Mallorca with a 20.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 3 (before the first match) against those on October 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Champions League | 36.4% | 24.5% | −12.0 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 22.5% | 33.1% | +10.6 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 27.2% | 17.1% | −10.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 66.9% | 76.9% | +10.0 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 21.6% | 31.4% | +9.7 |
| Levante | Relegation | 45.6% | 36.3% | −9.3 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 58.3% | 67.1% | +8.7 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 24.7% | 16.5% | −8.2 |
| Valencia | Champion | 26.6% | 18.9% | −7.8 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 17.6% | 25.2% | +7.6 |
