Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 4 draws and no away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 27 (before the first match) against those on October 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 40.4% | 29.0% | −11.4 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 32.7% | 21.6% | −11.0 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 56.6% | 66.9% | +10.3 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 28.6% | 36.4% | +7.8 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 45.3% | 52.3% | +7.0 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 17.7% | 24.7% | +6.9 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 65.2% | 58.3% | −6.9 |
| Hércules | Relegation | 15.6% | 22.1% | +6.5 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 19.4% | 25.5% | +6.1 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 22.9% | 16.8% | −6.1 |
