Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Mallorca beat Valencia with a 19.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 18 (before the first match) against those on October 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 35.6% | 19.6% | −16.0 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 64.2% | 49.3% | −14.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 31.4% | 21.2% | −10.2 |
| Valencia | Champion | 18.9% | 9.3% | −9.5 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 46.7% | 54.8% | +8.1 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 18.0% | 10.0% | −8.0 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 50.6% | 58.4% | +7.9 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 27.4% | 34.1% | +6.7 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 25.2% | 31.5% | +6.4 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 27.8% | 33.8% | +6.0 |
