Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Almería beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 22.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 23 (before the first match) against those on September 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Champions League | 43.6% | 28.6% | −15.0 |
| Hércules | Relegation | 27.7% | 15.6% | −12.1 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 53.3% | 65.2% | +11.9 |
| Almería | Relegation | 25.8% | 14.4% | −11.4 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 27.9% | 17.4% | −10.4 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 56.4% | 65.9% | +9.5 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 21.0% | 28.5% | +7.5 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 33.2% | 40.4% | +7.3 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 12.5% | 19.4% | +7.0 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 38.4% | 45.3% | +6.9 |
