Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Levante beat Almería with a 11.5% chance and Málaga beat Getafe with a 14.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 20 (before the first match) against those on September 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 49.2% | 61.8% | +12.5 |
| Levante | Relegation | 64.8% | 53.5% | −11.3 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 24.3% | 13.7% | −10.6 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 25.9% | 15.6% | −10.3 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 18.0% | 27.9% | +9.9 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 23.9% | 33.2% | +9.3 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 23.0% | 14.7% | −8.3 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 23.5% | 15.6% | −7.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 15.1% | 22.8% | +7.6 |
| Almería | Relegation | 18.4% | 25.8% | +7.5 |
