Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, no draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Levante beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 23.3% chance and Sevilla beat Valencia with a 21.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 14 (before the first match) against those on March 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Europa League | 19.8% | 40.1% | +20.3 |
| Hércules | Relegation | 54.3% | 71.5% | +17.3 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 58.8% | 42.6% | −16.2 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 81.3% | 94.9% | +13.6 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 17.2% | 5.0% | −12.2 |
| Almería | Relegation | 70.3% | 81.9% | +11.6 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 12.2% | 22.5% | +10.3 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 20.9% | 11.7% | −9.2 |
| Levante | Relegation | 14.6% | 5.4% | −9.1 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 31.0% | 39.9% | +8.9 |
