Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 2 draws and no away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Zaragoza beat Sevilla with a 23.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 31 (before the first match) against those on February 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 56.1% | 40.6% | −15.5 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 52.2% | 39.4% | −12.7 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 30.4% | 40.5% | +10.1 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 38.8% | 47.5% | +8.7 |
| Almería | Relegation | 19.9% | 11.9% | −8.0 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 32.7% | 39.7% | +7.0 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 67.7% | 74.2% | +6.5 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 81.5% | 87.0% | +5.5 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 15.3% | 11.0% | −4.3 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 12.2% | 8.8% | −3.3 |
