Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Osasuna beat Villarreal with a 18.8% chance, Xerez beat Mallorca with a 17.5% chance, and Málaga beat Atlético Madrid with a 23.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 24 (before the first match) against those on January 31 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Champions League | 35.5% | 52.2% | +16.7 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 52.0% | 67.7% | +15.7 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 67.3% | 56.1% | −11.1 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 40.2% | 30.4% | −9.8 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 12.0% | 6.9% | −5.1 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 37.7% | 32.7% | −5.0 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 27.3% | 22.7% | −4.6 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 34.3% | 38.8% | +4.5 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 16.6% | 12.2% | −4.4 |
| Osasuna | Europa League | 2.4% | 6.4% | +4.1 |
