Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Tenerife beat Mallorca with a 22.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 7 (before the first match) against those on February 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Champions League | 39.4% | 52.2% | +12.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 21.4% | 34.0% | +12.6 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 77.9% | 65.5% | −12.4 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 74.2% | 63.9% | −10.3 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 40.5% | 30.8% | −9.7 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 47.5% | 56.2% | +8.6 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 39.7% | 33.9% | −5.8 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 20.9% | 15.6% | −5.3 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 4.7% | 9.6% | +4.9 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 8.8% | 13.6% | +4.8 |
