Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Racing Santander beat Valencia with a 16.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 26 (before the first match) against those on November 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | Champions League | 65.4% | 50.0% | −15.4 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 60.6% | 73.1% | +12.5 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 28.8% | 17.9% | −10.9 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 54.9% | 44.5% | −10.4 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 28.1% | 38.2% | +10.2 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 24.7% | 34.6% | +9.9 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 74.5% | 83.4% | +8.9 |
| Valencia | Champion | 18.3% | 9.8% | −8.5 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 26.6% | 18.3% | −8.2 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 42.7% | 50.5% | +7.9 |
