Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Sporting Gijón beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 13.4% chance and Málaga beat Sevilla with a 11.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 19 (before the first match) against those on October 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 46.3% | 28.8% | −17.4 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 36.0% | 49.2% | +13.2 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 62.1% | 74.5% | +12.4 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 65.3% | 54.9% | −10.5 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 50.8% | 42.7% | −8.1 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 16.6% | 24.7% | +8.1 |
| Sevilla | Champion | 19.6% | 11.5% | −8.0 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 17.1% | 10.0% | −7.1 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 21.7% | 28.1% | +6.3 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 8.3% | 14.6% | +6.3 |
