Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 1 draw and 6 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Almería with a 24.6% chance, Osasuna beat Barcelona with a 10.2% chance, Sporting Gijón beat Real Valladolid with a 18.5% chance, and Mallorca beat Real Madrid with a 16.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 17 (before the first match) against those on May 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | Europa League | 69.0% | 95.0% | +26.0 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 69.1% | 95.0% | +25.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 30.3% | 5.0% | −25.3 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 70.7% | 93.6% | +22.9 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 25.8% | 6.4% | −19.4 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 18.6% | 0% | −18.6 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 84.3% | 100% | +15.7 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 37.0% | 25.5% | −11.5 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 16.0% | 6.2% | −9.7 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 70.1% | 60.4% | −9.7 |
