Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 2 draws and no away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 10 (before the first match) against those on May 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 66.9% | 37.0% | −29.9 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 40.9% | 69.0% | +28.0 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 43.9% | 18.6% | −25.3 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 46.4% | 70.7% | +24.3 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 45.4% | 69.1% | +23.7 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 47.7% | 70.1% | +22.4 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 71.7% | 92.3% | +20.7 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 46.0% | 25.8% | −20.1 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 47.1% | 30.3% | −16.7 |
| Málaga | Europa League | 17.5% | 2.9% | −14.6 |
