Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Málaga beat Villarreal with a 18.9% chance, Real Betis beat Racing Santander with a 22.7% chance, and Getafe beat Sevilla with a 15.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 5 (before the first match) against those on April 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | Champions League | 48.0% | 22.9% | −25.1 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 30.1% | 12.9% | −17.2 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 18.6% | 32.6% | +14.0 |
| Málaga | Europa League | 26.4% | 39.3% | +13.0 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 30.2% | 17.3% | −12.9 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 21.1% | 33.2% | +12.1 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 40.3% | 51.6% | +11.3 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 16.8% | 27.8% | +11.0 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 19.0% | 9.5% | −9.6 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 13.6% | 5.3% | −8.3 |
