Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Osasuna beat Atlético Madrid with a 15.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 22 (before the first match) against those on April 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | Relegation | 36.1% | 17.2% | −18.9 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 34.2% | 46.2% | +12.0 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 28.6% | 40.3% | +11.7 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 10.6% | 21.1% | +10.4 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 28.3% | 18.6% | −9.7 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 20.7% | 30.1% | +9.4 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 9.1% | 16.8% | +7.8 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 83.2% | 76.3% | −6.9 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 12.4% | 19.0% | +6.7 |
| Almería | Relegation | 9.7% | 4.0% | −5.8 |
