Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 8 (before the first match) against those on March 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 29.7% | 44.7% | +15.0 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 13.7% | 5.3% | −8.4 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 44.0% | 35.7% | −8.3 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 20.2% | 13.6% | −6.6 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 77.1% | 82.3% | +5.2 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 23.2% | 28.4% | +5.2 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 25.2% | 20.1% | −5.1 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 37.4% | 42.4% | +5.1 |
| Real Valladolid | Europa League | 7.5% | 11.9% | +4.4 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 21.5% | 18.1% | −3.4 |
