Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Betis beat Sevilla with a 18.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 1 (before the first match) against those on February 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 26.8% | 41.5% | +14.8 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 60.0% | 45.8% | −14.2 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 58.7% | 45.2% | −13.5 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 47.1% | 36.3% | −10.8 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 17.8% | 26.4% | +8.6 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 14.6% | 7.1% | −7.5 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 32.9% | 39.0% | +6.1 |
| Numancia | Relegation | 57.0% | 61.8% | +4.8 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 23.0% | 27.4% | +4.4 |
| Málaga | Champions League | 7.2% | 11.4% | +4.2 |
