Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, no draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Murcia beat Real Valladolid with a 23.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 27 (before the first match) against those on September 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Murcia | Relegation | 39.8% | 21.3% | −18.6 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 38.2% | 22.6% | −15.6 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 40.8% | 26.0% | −14.7 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 29.3% | 40.8% | +11.5 |
| Levante | Relegation | 54.1% | 62.8% | +8.7 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 61.2% | 69.9% | +8.7 |
| Mallorca | Champions League | 17.1% | 8.6% | −8.5 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 41.8% | 49.4% | +7.6 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Champions League | 19.6% | 12.2% | −7.4 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 29.9% | 37.1% | +7.2 |
