Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Valencia with a 19.3% chance and Deportivo La Coruña beat Sevilla with a 13.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 30 (before the first match) against those on October 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | Champions League | 49.4% | 37.5% | −11.9 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 69.9% | 80.3% | +10.4 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 37.1% | 27.8% | −9.3 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 40.8% | 50.1% | +9.3 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 26.3% | 17.4% | −8.9 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 26.0% | 17.2% | −8.8 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 21.7% | 30.2% | +8.5 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 15.0% | 23.1% | +8.2 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 63.1% | 55.1% | −8.0 |
| Levante | Relegation | 62.8% | 70.6% | +7.8 |
