Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, no draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Sevilla with a 15.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 23 (before the first match) against those on September 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Champions League | 58.2% | 40.8% | −17.4 |
| Almería | Relegation | 31.3% | 18.6% | −12.7 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 21.2% | 9.9% | −11.2 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 50.0% | 60.7% | +10.7 |
| Levante | Relegation | 44.0% | 54.1% | +10.1 |
| Sevilla | Champion | 17.1% | 8.1% | −9.1 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 18.4% | 9.9% | −8.5 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 53.6% | 61.2% | +7.7 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 22.9% | 29.9% | +7.0 |
| Racing Santander | Champions League | 11.9% | 5.0% | −6.9 |
