Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletic Club beat Levante with a 24.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 16 (before the first match) against those on September 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 37.5% | 25.7% | −11.8 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 69.8% | 58.2% | −11.6 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 14.5% | 22.9% | +8.4 |
| Sevilla | Champion | 25.4% | 17.1% | −8.3 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 42.0% | 50.0% | +8.0 |
| Real Murcia | Relegation | 28.4% | 36.2% | +7.9 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 31.9% | 39.6% | +7.7 |
| Racing Santander | Champions League | 19.5% | 11.9% | −7.6 |
| Levante | Relegation | 37.2% | 44.0% | +6.8 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 48.3% | 53.6% | +5.3 |
