Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Osasuna beat Espanyol with a 23.9% chance and Levante beat Real Betis with a 15.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 6 (before the first match) against those on April 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 26.8% | 43.3% | +16.5 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 70.9% | 54.8% | −16.1 |
| Espanyol | Europa League | 17.4% | 4.5% | −12.9 |
| Racing Santander | Champions League | 16.6% | 28.5% | +11.9 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 11.5% | 2.6% | −8.8 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 12.6% | 21.4% | +8.8 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 65.6% | 71.0% | +5.3 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 6.6% | 1.7% | −5.0 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 91.6% | 96.2% | +4.6 |
| Mallorca | Europa League | 4.5% | 0.4% | −4.1 |
