Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Recreativo Huelva beat Osasuna with a 23.6% chance, Deportivo La Coruña beat Racing Santander with a 20.0% chance, and Real Betis beat Real Zaragoza with a 22.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 30 (before the first match) against those on April 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 26.7% | 56.9% | +30.3 |
| Racing Santander | Champions League | 37.4% | 16.6% | −20.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 52.4% | 70.9% | +18.6 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 34.5% | 17.3% | −17.2 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 41.0% | 26.8% | −14.3 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 51.6% | 65.6% | +14.1 |
| Racing Santander | Europa League | 54.0% | 67.3% | +13.4 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 23.5% | 10.7% | −12.9 |
| Espanyol | Europa League | 27.3% | 17.4% | −10.0 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 4.9% | 11.5% | +6.6 |
