Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Betis beat Atlético Madrid with a 17.3% chance and Almería beat Sevilla with a 16.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 13 (before the first match) against those on April 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation | 59.0% | 37.0% | −22.1 |
| Almería | Europa League | 3.7% | 15.0% | +11.2 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 71.0% | 59.9% | −11.0 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 19.9% | 29.1% | +9.2 |
| Racing Santander | Europa League | 68.0% | 60.1% | −7.9 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 10.6% | 16.6% | +6.0 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 2.6% | 7.0% | +4.4 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 21.4% | 17.2% | −4.2 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 1.8% | 6.0% | +4.2 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 96.3% | 99.9% | +3.6 |
