Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 24 (before the first match) against those on March 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champion | 66.0% | 81.2% | +15.2 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 33.1% | 18.4% | −14.7 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 37.0% | 23.1% | −13.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 38.2% | 51.5% | +13.3 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 30.6% | 17.7% | −12.9 |
| Real Murcia | Relegation | 75.6% | 84.7% | +9.1 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 17.6% | 9.3% | −8.2 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 18.7% | 26.8% | +8.1 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 81.8% | 74.0% | −7.8 |
| Racing Santander | Europa League | 30.9% | 38.5% | +7.6 |
