Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Getafe beat Real Madrid with a 14.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 17 (before the first match) against those on February 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Murcia | Relegation | 58.8% | 75.6% | +16.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 80.6% | 66.0% | −14.6 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 19.0% | 33.1% | +14.1 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 51.2% | 38.2% | −13.1 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 70.5% | 81.8% | +11.3 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 41.5% | 30.6% | −10.9 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 27.6% | 37.0% | +9.4 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 23.4% | 14.1% | −9.3 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 21.0% | 11.7% | −9.3 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 27.8% | 18.7% | −9.1 |
