Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletic Club beat Atlético Madrid with a 15.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 10 (before the first match) against those on February 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Champions League | 12.2% | 27.6% | +15.5 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 28.3% | 17.4% | −10.8 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 62.0% | 51.2% | −10.7 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 20.7% | 10.0% | −10.7 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 8.7% | 19.0% | +10.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 90.7% | 80.6% | −10.1 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 32.4% | 41.5% | +9.2 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 36.6% | 27.8% | −8.8 |
| Real Murcia | Relegation | 50.1% | 58.8% | +8.7 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 15.2% | 23.4% | +8.2 |
