Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Recreativo Huelva beat Espanyol with a 18.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 3 (before the first match) against those on February 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol | Champions League | 53.1% | 36.6% | −16.5 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 46.0% | 62.0% | +15.9 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 32.8% | 20.2% | −12.6 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 59.3% | 71.9% | +12.6 |
| Real Murcia | Relegation | 40.9% | 50.1% | +9.2 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 23.6% | 15.2% | −8.4 |
| Espanyol | Europa League | 29.2% | 36.8% | +7.6 |
| Racing Santander | Champions League | 15.2% | 7.7% | −7.6 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 21.4% | 28.3% | +6.9 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 14.4% | 21.0% | +6.6 |
