Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Deportivo La Coruña beat Real Betis with a 24.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 27 (before the first match) against those on February 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 45.0% | 29.4% | −15.6 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 39.6% | 53.1% | +13.5 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 56.2% | 46.0% | −10.2 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 25.0% | 32.8% | +7.8 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 66.8% | 59.3% | −7.5 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 14.7% | 21.4% | +6.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 91.3% | 84.8% | −6.5 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 8.0% | 14.4% | +6.5 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 10.8% | 16.2% | +5.4 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 9.1% | 14.0% | +4.9 |
