Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Betis beat Espanyol with a 17.0% chance, Levante beat Real Murcia with a 19.5% chance, and Almería beat Valencia with a 19.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 20 (before the first match) against those on January 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Murcia | Relegation | 31.6% | 45.0% | +13.3 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Relegation | 56.5% | 45.0% | −11.5 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 14.5% | 25.0% | +10.4 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 23.9% | 14.7% | −9.2 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 47.1% | 39.6% | −7.5 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 15.0% | 21.2% | +6.2 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 21.1% | 26.8% | +5.8 |
| Almería | Relegation | 10.9% | 5.2% | −5.7 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 85.6% | 91.3% | +5.7 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 14.9% | 9.7% | −5.2 |
