Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Celta Vigo beat Atlético Madrid with a 18.7% chance and Gimnàstic de Tarragona beat Getafe with a 12.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 27 (before the first match) against those on June 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 77.7% | 23.9% | −53.8 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 33.2% | 81.2% | +47.9 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 94.0% | 59.2% | −34.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 43.5% | 69.8% | +26.3 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 48.8% | 25.2% | −23.5 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 5.6% | 24.1% | +18.5 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 6.7% | 21.2% | +14.5 |
| Real Zaragoza | Europa League | 88.3% | 95.0% | +6.7 |
