Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Betis beat Racing Santander with a 24.6% chance and Villarreal beat Sevilla with a 20.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 10 (before the first match) against those on June 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 59.2% | 100% | +40.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 69.8% | 100% | +30.2 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 25.2% | 0% | −25.2 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 24.1% | 0% | −24.1 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 23.9% | 0% | −23.8 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 21.2% | 0% | −21.2 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 81.2% | 100% | +18.8 |
| Real Zaragoza | Europa League | 95.0% | 100% | +5.0 |
| Sevilla | Champion | 5.0% | 0% | −5.0 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 95.4% | 100% | +4.6 |
