Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Villarreal beat Valencia with a 21.5% chance and Levante beat Racing Santander with a 21.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 20 (before the first match) against those on May 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 71.9% | 93.6% | +21.7 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 16.8% | 33.2% | +16.5 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 21.5% | 6.7% | −14.7 |
| Getafe | Europa League | 13.7% | 0.8% | −12.9 |
| Levante | Relegation | 11.5% | 0.1% | −11.4 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 67.4% | 77.7% | +10.3 |
| Real Zaragoza | Europa League | 96.3% | 88.3% | −8.0 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Europa League | 4.1% | 0% | −4.1 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 2.4% | 5.6% | +3.2 |
