Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, no draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Levante beat Recreativo Huelva with a 12.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 10 (before the first match) against those on September 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante | Relegation | 71.6% | 52.9% | −18.7 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 37.3% | 23.4% | −13.9 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 33.7% | 20.4% | −13.3 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 23.8% | 14.4% | −9.5 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 17.3% | 25.8% | +8.5 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 40.3% | 48.7% | +8.5 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 15.1% | 6.9% | −8.1 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 13.6% | 21.5% | +7.9 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 70.5% | 78.1% | +7.6 |
| Gimnàstic de Tarragona | Relegation | 33.1% | 39.6% | +6.5 |
