Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Recreativo Huelva beat Villarreal with a 11.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 29 (before the first match) against those on September 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 35.1% | 21.5% | −13.6 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 21.8% | 9.0% | −12.8 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 25.2% | 15.1% | −10.2 |
| Osasuna | Champions League | 23.2% | 13.1% | −10.1 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 28.4% | 37.3% | +8.9 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 61.9% | 70.5% | +8.6 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 21.9% | 13.6% | −8.3 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 24.4% | 32.6% | +8.1 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 47.3% | 54.9% | +7.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 42.6% | 49.8% | +7.2 |
