Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Levante beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 20.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 17 (before the first match) against those on September 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante | Relegation | 52.9% | 37.0% | −15.9 |
| Osasuna | Champions League | 15.5% | 26.8% | +11.4 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 57.8% | 47.3% | −10.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 55.8% | 65.8% | +10.0 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 30.2% | 20.5% | −9.7 |
| Real Sociedad | Relegation | 39.0% | 48.5% | +9.5 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 26.8% | 17.5% | −9.2 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 21.5% | 29.2% | +7.7 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 23.4% | 31.0% | +7.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 13.7% | 20.7% | +7.0 |
