Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 6 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Gimnàstic de Tarragona beat Sevilla with a 23.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 4 (before the first match) against those on March 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante | Relegation | 31.6% | 42.1% | +10.5 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 17.3% | 25.6% | +8.3 |
| Sevilla | Champion | 38.4% | 31.4% | −7.0 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 31.9% | 26.5% | −5.4 |
| Gimnàstic de Tarragona | Relegation | 96.1% | 90.8% | −5.4 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 14.1% | 18.7% | +4.6 |
| Getafe | Europa League | 21.9% | 18.1% | −3.8 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 96.3% | 92.8% | −3.6 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 3.6% | 6.7% | +3.1 |
