Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Racing Santander beat Valencia with a 17.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 11 (before the first match) against those on March 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | Champions League | 78.9% | 64.2% | −14.6 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 26.5% | 39.9% | +13.4 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 46.5% | 59.1% | +12.6 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 25.5% | 36.5% | +11.0 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 16.2% | 26.8% | +10.6 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 18.7% | 8.1% | −10.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 63.3% | 73.4% | +10.2 |
| Valencia | Champion | 13.4% | 3.8% | −9.6 |
| Racing Santander | Europa League | 6.9% | 15.8% | +9.0 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 25.6% | 17.6% | −8.0 |
