Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Gimnàstic de Tarragona beat Athletic Club with a 15.6% chance and Real Betis beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 22.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 25 (before the first match) against those on March 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champion | 59.5% | 44.7% | −14.7 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 17.7% | 31.9% | +14.2 |
| Sevilla | Champion | 25.9% | 38.4% | +12.5 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 26.4% | 14.1% | −12.3 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 27.1% | 17.3% | −9.9 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 71.5% | 79.5% | +8.0 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 12.6% | 4.9% | −7.7 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 67.6% | 61.1% | −6.5 |
| Levante | Relegation | 25.6% | 31.6% | +6.1 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Europa League | 17.8% | 23.8% | +5.9 |
