Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Celta Vigo with a 23.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 4 (before the first match) against those on February 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | Champions League | 71.8% | 61.3% | −10.6 |
| Levante | Relegation | 35.6% | 25.8% | −9.8 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 12.3% | 21.7% | +9.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 62.7% | 72.0% | +9.3 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 25.8% | 17.7% | −8.1 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 23.5% | 15.6% | −7.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 32.4% | 40.0% | +7.6 |
| Getafe | Europa League | 21.3% | 28.6% | +7.3 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 52.2% | 58.6% | +6.4 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 16.6% | 22.9% | +6.3 |
