Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Celta Vigo beat Osasuna with a 21.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 11 (before the first match) against those on February 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | Champions League | 61.3% | 73.2% | +11.9 |
| Sevilla | Champion | 20.0% | 30.6% | +10.6 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 58.6% | 48.8% | −9.8 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 40.0% | 30.2% | −9.8 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 15.6% | 24.4% | +8.9 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 21.7% | 13.7% | −7.9 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 22.9% | 16.0% | −6.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 72.0% | 65.6% | −6.4 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 85.3% | 91.7% | +6.3 |
| Osasuna | Europa League | 14.9% | 8.7% | −6.2 |
