Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Betis beat Athletic Club with a 24.3% chance and Levante beat Real Madrid with a 11.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 28 (before the first match) against those on February 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante | Relegation | 50.0% | 35.6% | −14.5 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 59.6% | 71.8% | +12.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 74.6% | 62.7% | −11.8 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 15.4% | 25.8% | +10.4 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 8.9% | 16.6% | +7.7 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 16.3% | 23.5% | +7.2 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 26.6% | 20.0% | −6.6 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 18.4% | 11.9% | −6.5 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 38.8% | 32.4% | −6.4 |
| Real Madrid | Europa League | 18.4% | 24.5% | +6.2 |
