Round 1

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Gimnàstic de Tarragona beat Espanyol with a 17.5% chance and Getafe beat Osasuna with a 20.1% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on August 25 (before the first match) against those on August 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
OsasunaChampions League40.3%23.2%−17.2
Gimnàstic de TarragonaRelegation46.2%30.9%−15.3
SevillaChampions League35.1%47.3%+12.2
GetafeChampions League19.1%30.6%+11.5
LevanteRelegation54.4%65.0%+10.6
Celta VigoChampions League30.3%20.8%−9.5
Real MadridChampions League49.4%42.6%−6.8
BarcelonaChampions League55.2%61.9%+6.7
OsasunaChampion10.6%4.1%−6.4
EspanyolRelegation22.6%28.4%+5.8
Home 67.9%
Draw 19.1%
Away 12.9%
Home 55.1%
Draw 23.1%
Away 21.8%
Home 61.4%
Draw 21.1%
Away 17.5%
Home 57.6%
Draw 22.3%
Away 20.1%
Home 32.2%
Draw 28.4%
Away 39.5%
Home 57.0%
Draw 22.5%
Away 20.5%
Home 34.4%
Draw 29.6%
Away 36.0%
Home 59.1%
Draw 21.8%
Away 19.1%
Home 41.0%
Draw 27.8%
Away 31.2%
Home 76.7%
Draw 16.6%
Away 6.7%