Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Atlético Madrid with a 18.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 3 (before the first match) against those on December 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 38.2% | 25.8% | −12.4 |
| Athletic Club | Relegation | 44.8% | 32.5% | −12.3 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 28.4% | 39.4% | +11.0 |
| Levante | Relegation | 23.2% | 31.9% | +8.7 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 26.5% | 18.3% | −8.2 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 74.5% | 82.2% | +7.7 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 15.2% | 22.3% | +7.1 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 13.2% | 18.9% | +5.7 |
| Gimnàstic de Tarragona | Relegation | 86.0% | 80.7% | −5.3 |
| Valencia | Europa League | 20.8% | 25.9% | +5.2 |
