Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Recreativo Huelva beat Celta Vigo with a 17.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 5 (before the first match) against those on November 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 53.1% | 67.4% | +14.3 |
| Real Betis | Relegation | 35.2% | 27.2% | −8.0 |
| Real Zaragoza | Champions League | 40.0% | 32.1% | −8.0 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 17.6% | 25.3% | +7.7 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 11.0% | 17.7% | +6.7 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 14.8% | 8.4% | −6.4 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 50.5% | 44.5% | −6.0 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 40.0% | 45.8% | +5.8 |
| Getafe | Champions League | 24.9% | 30.7% | +5.8 |
| Recreativo Huelva | Relegation | 13.5% | 7.8% | −5.7 |
